It’s a rare situation in New England when Thanksgiving week rolls around and no storms are in sight in the days leading up to and including Thursday.
This is even more rarely the case nationwide without any weather-related travel problems to be expected – but that is exactly our setup this week.
A lull in a recent parade of disruptions riding the storm-guiding jet stream winds aloft over the past week will also result in a lull between storms. The next sign of storm won’t appear until some showers around Dallas on Wednesday turn into an expanding rain shield from Houston to Memphis to St. Louis on Thanksgiving Day.
Here in New England, the calm weather starts out cold. After Monday morning, wind chill readings in the single digits and into the teens recovered to the 20s and around 30s by Monday afternoon, with actual highs only nearing the 40s.
Monday night will be cold, but not as cold as its predecessor. Expect for most lows in the 20’s and 30’s and lighter breezes. Tuesday brings a noticeably lighter wind and temperatures of 45 to 50 degrees until the afternoon with plenty of sunshine for a significant improvement in body awareness from Monday. Northern New England will be a little colder in the coming days, but this bodes well for ski resorts, where snowmaking operations will continue at full speed in the days leading up to the holiday.
As the new, developing storm approaches Friday, milder air will move north with it, pushing temperatures into the 50s for most of southern New England, with rain showers expected to arrive through Friday afternoon and continue at least through Saturday morning. Meanwhile, the mountains in the north country are likely to start with a few inches of snow but may inevitably turn to rain by Saturday, although rain levels may be limited at this point.
From Saturday night through next week, colder air will return to make snow at least overnight, while southern New England will find a lull from freezing temperatures for a few days Thursday through Sunday. Meanwhile, the moon will be set for relatively high tides Thursday through Saturday, meaning our coasts will either see seawall flooding or perhaps see some minor coastal flooding in typically vulnerable spots.
At this point, our exclusive 10-day First Alert forecast shows temperatures close to or warmer than normal through early December, although we are seeing signs of a pattern change back to colder air beginning sometime around December 3rd.