Georgia vs Kentucky Odds, Tips & Predictions

The top-ranked Georgia Bulldogs, one of four remaining undefeated teams in the country, put their 10-0 record on the line as they visit the Kentucky Wildcats at Kroger Field on Saturday afternoon.

The Wildcats began the season with a four-win streak, including an upset against then-No. 12 Florida, but have since stumbled through their conference schedule, with a 2-4 record over their last six.

Georgia is listed as a 22.5-point road favorite and has won 12 straight games against rival SEC East. The Wildcats last fell 30-13 to the Bulldogs in Athens but held Georgia to just 14 points in a 14-3 loss in Lexington in 2020.

Do the Cats have a shot at a home game with the defending champions? Below are our top Georgia vs. Kentucky college football picks and predictions in week 12.

Georgia vs Kentucky best odds

Selection and predictions between Georgia and Kentucky

Kentucky has been up and down since losing its first loss of the season to a 22-19 heartbreaker in Mississippi. The Cats lost their next game to unranked South Carolina, albeit without starting quarterback Will Levis, and then rallied to beat the then-No. 16 state of Mississippi, 27-17, home.

A road matchup with Tennessee was a miserable turnout for the Cats, who averaged 205 yards of offense on a 44-6 blowout.

But UK bounced back with a win in Missouri, behind a strong display from Levis, and then suffered one of the program’s most shocking losses to Vanderbilt last Saturday, 4-6.

In the Commodores’ first win over an SEC opponent in 26 games, Kentucky gave up 448 yards of offense, including 264 yards on the ground, at 24:21.

The ‘Dores defense also strengthened, recording four sacks and six tackle losses, while Levis was held for 109 yards wide with 11 completions on 23 attempts.

Before the matchup with Kentucky, Vanderbilt was allowing 36.8 points per game, the most in the SEC, but against the Wildcats they held offense in the first three quarters on three field goals and gave up two points, running back Chris Rodriguez, both in the fourth.

Kentucky was only 4-to-12 in third place and lost the battle for possession time with Vandy after ranking eighth in the nation in average possession time.

Georgia ranks seventh in that category and will make life difficult for a Kentucky defense that Vanderbilt ran anywhere.

The Bulldogs pull off a dominant 45-19 win at Mississippi State in which the fast attack averaged 5.4 yards per attempt and hit paydirt three times.

The Georgia defense also held Mike Leach’s airborne attack for 261 yards through the air and one passing touchdown, with Will Rogers completing 29 of 51 passes.

The Bulldogs once again possess one of the best defenses in the nation, with only Michigan allowing fewer points per game.

Meanwhile, Kentucky ranks third in the SEC in points allowed and has held teams to 24 points or fewer, aside from the 44 points scored by Tennessee, the No. 1 goalscorer in the nation.

After the way Levis and his offensive line fared against Vanderbilt, you can expect an even tougher game against a far better Georgia defense.

But Kentucky will hang around on the other side of the ball, presenting quarterback Stetson Bennett with a much steeper challenge than Mississippi State. The Cats rank 16th in the nation in passing yards (182) and will force Georgia to stay low to the ground to move the chains.

The Bulldogs will find their way to the end zone, but they will take a lot of time to get there, leading to another low-scoring battle against the Cats, who will struggle to score against one of the best defenses in the world Country.

my best bet: First Half Under 26.5 points (-105 at DraftKings)

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Spread Analysis Georgia vs. Kentucky

After winning their first national title since 1980, the Bulldogs remain a force in college football and enjoy being repeated as national champions.

While they own a 10-0 record, the Bulldogs are only 6-4 against the spread this season, the same mark as Kentucky, but as an away team, Georgia has 2-1 ATS while Kentucky is 3-3 ATS with Kroger fielding .

The Bulldogs have a similar 6-4 ATS in their last 10 matchups with Kentucky, but haven’t been able to cover against the Cats in their last three.

However, after a near-loss to Missouri on October 1, Georgia went 4-1 ATS in their last five games and 5-2 ATS in their last seven games against winning-record teams.

Kentucky is 20-6-2 ATS in its last 28 games against teams with a winning record and 19-9-1 ATS in its last 29 home games.

The spread opened at 22.5 and stayed steady all week, but Georgia hasn’t gained more than 22 points against Kentucky since a 29-point win in 2017 when the Bulldogs beat UK 42-13 in Athens.

In the four games since, Georgia has won by an average margin of 16.5 points, with the Bulldogs’ closest win coming in the 14-3 decision at Kroger Field two seasons ago.

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Georgia vs. Kentucky Over/Under Analysis

The total for this game opened between 48.5 and 49.5 on most sportsbooks and has settled at 49.

In Georgia’s last four games, the Bulldogs have averaged 42.3 points per contest against Vanderbilt, Florida, Tennessee and Mississippi State, with three of those four defenses (excluding Tennessee) in the bottom half of the SEC in terms of allowables rank points.

Kentucky should be more of a test for Georgia and has held the Bulldogs to 30, 14 and 21 points in their last three straight games.

On the other hand, Kentucky’s offense has averaged just 16 points per game in its last three games — against Tennessee, Missouri and Vanderbilt — so it should be difficult to score against Georgia’s dominant stopping unit.

The Under is 6-4 in the last 10 matchups between those teams and 3-0 in the last three, while the Under has scored in four of the Bulldogs’ last five away games and it’s 8-3-1 in Georgia’s last 12 games overall .

The Under are 7-0 in Kentucky’s last seven games against a winning team and 10-1 in Britain’s last 11 games on aggregate, while the Under have scored in six of Kentucky’s last seven home games and in the last 5: 2 stands seven meetings between these teams.

Get to know Georgia vs. Kentucky betting trend

The Under is 10-1 in the Wildcats’ last 11 games overall and 5-2 in the last seven games between those teams. Find more NCAA betting trends for Georgia vs Kentucky.

Information on the Georgia vs. Kentucky game

Location: Kroger Field, Lexington, KY
Date: Saturday, 11/19/2022
Kicking off: 3:30 p.m. ET

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The weather between Georgia and Kentucky

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