Georgia vs. Kentucky Odds & Prediction ATS 11/19/22

Georgia Bulldogs (10-0 SU, 6-4 ATS) vs. Kentucky Wildcats (6-4 SU, 6-4 ATS)
When: Saturday, November 19 at 3:30 p.m
Where: Commonwealth Stadium, Lexington, Ky.

Point distribution: UGA -22.5 / UK +22.5
In total: O/U 49.5


Does Kentucky have anything else in the tank? The Wildcats appear to be done at this point in the season as they have not shown any consistency since losing at Mississippi and have only won defensive tackles against Missouri and Mississippi State since that game. They’ve been going back and forth between coverage and non-coverage, but this offense just doesn’t seem capable of producing much of anything, and the Wildcats gave the appearance of a team that Vanderbilt was unplayable last week.

Georgia just doesn’t need to stub her toe in two very winnable games before taking on LSU. The Bulldogs know that if they win their last two games of the season and the SEC title game, they will be No. 1 and likely face a lesser opponent in their semifinals. If you lose one of those games, the Dawgs can still go into the SEC title game with a win, but they’d have to go to the Fiesta Bowl instead of staying at home in the Peach Bowl. That shouldn’t be a problem in this game; Georgia has been 6-0 with Kentucky since Kirby Smart took over, has not lost at Lexington since 2006 and holds a 30-5 record against the SEC East during Smart’s tenure. The only question here is whether the Bulldogs will allow Kentucky to stay in the game or go on the jugular.

How the public is betting on the Georgia/Kentucky game

The public doesn’t know what to do, and the snipers either don’t want to touch this number or think it’s right where it should be. The public has bet 51% of the tickets on Georgia and neither the range nor the total has changed.

injury concerns

Offensive lineman Earnest Greene III (leg), linebacker Nolan Smith (chest), wide receiver Adonai Mitchell (ankle), defensive back Dan Jackson (foot), linebacker CJ Washington (neck), offensive lineman Drew Bobo (shoulder), and running back Andrew Paul (knee) is out.

Wide receiver Chris Lewis (unknown) is questionable. Defensive end Sam Anaele (unknown) and running back Ramon Jefferson (knee) are out.

When Georgia has the ball

Stetson Bennett must stop throwing the ball on the run if Georgia is to defend its national title. The Bulldogs were never in danger against Mississippi State, but they made the game closer than it should have been because Bennett made two poor decisions that became Mississippi State field goals. Georgia won’t be in danger against Kentucky, but the Bulldogs need to clean them up before heading to Atlanta for the SEC title game.
The Kentucky defense is good at defending the pass, so Georgia could decide to use this play to put some work into the game in progress. Daijun Edwards and Kenny McIntosh have been mediocre at best this season, and Kendall Milton isn’t getting enough touches, so there aren’t many great shows on the part of the Bulldog running game this season. Georgia will likely use this week and next to make sure it’s as ready as possible to take on LSU.